Jets
2026 MATCHUP PROJECTION
Vikings at Jets
Offseason model projection plus deep team and player data. Priors only — before free agency, the draft, and injuries.
64%
Vikings WIN
25–20
PROJ SCORE
Vikings -5.0
PROJ MARGIN
Vikings WIN%Jets WIN%
64%36%
PROJECTED MARGIN
Likely final margins (SD 13.5 pts). Each team's shaded area is its win probability; the marker is our projected margin.
TEAM EFFICIENCY · 2025
-0.016Net EPA / play-0.274
-0.116Offense EPA / play-0.127
-0.100Defense EPA / play0.147
0.426Offense success %0.407
0.410Defense success %0.456
BY THE NUMBERS
| #18 | Power rank | #32 |
| -0.008 | Model rating | -0.137 |
| 8.2 | Proj. 2026 wins | 5.3 |
| 34% | Playoff odds | 4% |
| -0.188 | Pass EPA/play | -0.180 |
| -0.015 | Rush EPA/play | -0.061 |
| 344/333 | 2025 record pts | 300/503 |
| 0.006 | Strength of sched | 0.008 |
KEY PLAYERS · 2025
Minnesota Vikings
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
| J.Jefferson | 1055 | 202 |
| J.Addison | 691 | 135 |
| J.Mason | 809 | 129 |
| J.McCarthy | 1632 | 125 |
| A.Jones | 747 | 119 |
| T.Hockenson | 438 | 113 |
New York Jets
| Player | Yds | PPR |
|---|---|---|
THE EDGE — DEEP MATCHUP DATA
UNLOCK THE EDGE
Full passing / rushing / receiving splits for both rosters, the defensive matchup mismatches to target, and — once the season kicks off — injury reports and the model's exploit edges for this exact game.
Go Pro. Get the Edge.RECENT MEETINGS
| Season · Wk | Matchup | Final |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 · W5 | Jets @ Vikings | 17–23 |
| 2022 · W13 | Jets @ Vikings | 22–27 |
2026 offseason priors from the season Monte-Carlo model — they know the schedule but not free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season projections take over in September. Full method on the methodology page. Past results. Not financial advice.