Skip to content
NoPunt
This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
What is EPAStats GlossaryPower Rankings ExplainedHow Standings WorkHow Playoffs Work
NoPunt
About NoPuntBlogFull LedgerLedger ExplorerFilter and sort, Pro
For developers
Public JSON APIData ExportsCSV, Pro
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Get every pick before kickoff.

GO PRO

PICKS

This WeekThe EdgeSurvivor PicksPick’em PicksConfidence Pool PicksCirca SurvivorTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason ReviewModel Performance

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI DocsNFL Data API
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only, no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? NY: 1-877-8-HOPENY. Elsewhere: 1-800-MY-RESET.
PrivacyTermsAPI
2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

CARVSNO

Carolina Panthers
CAR#8
Carolina Panthers
VS
New Orleans Saints
NO#27
New Orleans Saints
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

CAR leads in 7 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
CAR
METRIC
NO
+0.087
NET EPA / PLAY
-0.148
+0.115
OFF EPA / PLAY
-0.054
+0.028

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
CAR
2-2
STRAIGHT UP
50%
2-2
ATS
50%
NO
1-4
STRAIGHT UP
20%
2-3
ATS
40%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
CAR
WLWL
NO
LLLWL
L3 STREAK

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
CAR
TENDENCY
NO
64.9%
PASS RATE
65.3%
26.7%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
34.3%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
CAR
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP7.6%
SUPER BOWL2.6%
NO
PLAYOFFS<1%
CONF CHAMP<1%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK14NO @ CARCARB—PENDING
2026 WK10CAR @ NOCARC—PENDING
2025 WK15CAR @ NOCARBCAR 17 · NO 20LOSS
2025 WK10NO @ CARCARA+NO 17 · CAR 7LOSS
2024 WK9NO @ CARNOB

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
4
PICKED CAR
4 of 14 games
10
PICKED NO
10 of 14 games
6
CORRECT PICKS
6 of 12 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
+0.094
44.1%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
43.1%
121.0
POINTS FOR
118.0
109.0
POINTS AGAINST
151.0
+12
POINT DIFF
-33
38.0%
3RD DOWN CONV
45.8%
72.7%
RED ZONE TD RATE
70.6%
6.0%
NO HUDDLE RATE
16.2%
2.07
PTS / DRIVE
1.92
<1%
NO 22 · CAR 23
LOSS
2024 WK1CAR @ NONOA+CAR 10 · NO 47WIN
2023 WK14CAR @ NONOACAR 6 · NO 28WIN
2023 WK2NO @ CARNOCNO 20 · CAR 17WIN
2022 WK18CAR @ NONOBCAR 10 · NO 7LOSS
2022 WK3NO @ CARNOBNO 14 · CAR 22LOSS
2021 WK17CAR @ NONOBCAR 10 · NO 18WIN
2021 WK2NO @ CARNOA+NO 7 · CAR 26LOSS
2020 WK17NO @ CARNOA+NO 33 · CAR 7WIN
2020 WK7CAR @ NONOACAR 24 · NO 27WIN