Skip to content
NoPunt
This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
What is EPAStats GlossaryPower Rankings ExplainedHow Standings WorkHow Playoffs Work
NoPunt
About NoPuntBlogFull LedgerLedger ExplorerFilter and sort, Pro
For developers
Public JSON APIData ExportsCSV, Pro
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Get every pick before kickoff.

GO PRO

PICKS

This WeekThe EdgeSurvivor PicksPick’em PicksConfidence Pool PicksCirca SurvivorTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason ReviewModel Performance

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI DocsNFL Data API
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only, no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? NY: 1-877-8-HOPENY. Elsewhere: 1-800-MY-RESET.
PrivacyTermsAPI
2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

CHIVSGB

Chicago Bears
CHI#17
Chicago Bears
VS
Green Bay Packers
GB#15
Green Bay Packers
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

CHI leads in 5 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
CHI
METRIC
GB
+0.008
NET EPA / PLAY
+0.018
+0.023
OFF EPA / PLAY
-0.021
+0.015

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
CHI
3-2
STRAIGHT UP
60%
3-2
ATS
60%
GB
3-2
STRAIGHT UP
60%
1-3-1
ATS
25%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
CHI
LWWLW
GB
WWLWL
W2 STREAK

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
CHI
TENDENCY
GB
50.6%
PASS RATE
67.6%
41.7%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
25.0%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
CHI
PLAYOFFS<1%
CONF CHAMP<1%
SUPER BOWL<1%
GB
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP2.4%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK16GB @ CHICHIB—PENDING
2026 WK5CHI @ GBCHIBCHI 7 · GB 31LOSS
2025 WK16GB @ CHICHICGB 16 · CHI 22WIN
2025 WK14CHI @ GBGBBCHI 21 · GB 28WIN
2024 WK18CHI @ GBGBS

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
3
PICKED CHI
3 of 14 games
11
PICKED GB
11 of 14 games
11
CORRECT PICKS
11 of 13 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
-0.039
46.1%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
40.7%
119.0
POINTS FOR
104.0
96.0
POINTS AGAINST
112.0
+23
POINT DIFF
-8
44.3%
3RD DOWN CONV
28.1%
53.3%
RED ZONE TD RATE
54.5%
6.4%
NO HUDDLE RATE
8.6%
1.81
PTS / DRIVE
1.53
0.6%
CHI 24 · GB 22
LOSS
2024 WK11GB @ CHIGBAGB 20 · CHI 19WIN
2023 WK18CHI @ GBGBBCHI 9 · GB 17WIN
2023 WK1GB @ CHIGBA+GB 38 · CHI 20WIN
2022 WK13GB @ CHIGBBGB 28 · CHI 19WIN
2022 WK2CHI @ GBGBBCHI 10 · GB 27WIN
2021 WK14CHI @ GBGBA+CHI 30 · GB 45WIN
2021 WK6GB @ CHIGBBGB 24 · CHI 14WIN
2020 WK17GB @ CHIGBBGB 35 · CHI 16WIN
2020 WK12CHI @ GBGBA+CHI 25 · GB 41WIN