Skip to content
NoPunt
This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
What is EPAStats GlossaryPower Rankings ExplainedHow Standings WorkHow Playoffs Work
NoPunt
About NoPuntBlogFull LedgerLedger ExplorerFilter and sort, Pro
For developers
Public JSON APIData ExportsCSV, Pro
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Get every pick before kickoff.

GO PRO

PICKS

This WeekThe EdgeSurvivor PicksPick’em PicksConfidence Pool PicksCirca SurvivorTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason ReviewModel Performance

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI DocsNFL Data API
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only, no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? NY: 1-877-8-HOPENY. Elsewhere: 1-800-MY-RESET.
PrivacyTermsAPI
2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

CLEVSBAL

Cleveland Browns
CLE#24
Cleveland Browns
VS
Baltimore Ravens
BAL#4
Baltimore Ravens
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

BAL leads in 5 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
CLE
METRIC
BAL
-0.058
NET EPA / PLAY
+0.168
-0.080
OFF EPA / PLAY
+0.151
-0.022

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
CLE
4-2
STRAIGHT UP
67%
4-2
ATS
67%
BAL
4-2
STRAIGHT UP
67%
2-4
ATS
33%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
CLE
WLWWW
BAL
LWWWL

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
CLE
TENDENCY
BAL
58.5%
PASS RATE
48.4%
19.1%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
12.9%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
CLE
PLAYOFFS<1%
CONF CHAMP<1%
SUPER BOWL<1%
BAL
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP12.7%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK16CLE @ BALBALB—PENDING
2026 WK6BAL @ CLEBALBBAL 10 · CLE 13LOSS
2025 WK11BAL @ CLEBALABAL 23 · CLE 16WIN
2025 WK2CLE @ BALBALSCLE 17 · BAL 41WIN
2024 WK18CLE @ BALBALS

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
2
PICKED CLE
2 of 14 games
12
PICKED BAL
12 of 14 games
6
CORRECT PICKS
6 of 13 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
-0.017
39.1%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
50.7%
93.0
POINTS FOR
146.0
112.0
POINTS AGAINST
119.0
-19
POINT DIFF
+27
30.6%
3RD DOWN CONV
40.0%
50.0%
RED ZONE TD RATE
75.0%
3.1%
NO HUDDLE RATE
4.0%
1.19
PTS / DRIVE
2.16
5.7%
CLE 10 · BAL 35
WIN
2024 WK8BAL @ CLEBALA+BAL 24 · CLE 29LOSS
2023 WK10CLE @ BALBALACLE 33 · BAL 31LOSS
2023 WK4BAL @ CLECLECBAL 28 · CLE 3LOSS
2022 WK15BAL @ CLEBALBBAL 3 · CLE 13LOSS
2022 WK7CLE @ BALBALBCLE 20 · BAL 23WIN
2021 WK14BAL @ CLEBALBBAL 22 · CLE 24LOSS
2021 WK12CLE @ BALBALBCLE 10 · BAL 16WIN
2020 WK14BAL @ CLECLECBAL 47 · CLE 42LOSS
2020 WK1CLE @ BALBALSCLE 6 · BAL 38WIN