The Edge picks
The games our model flags as bets each week, with unit sizing set to your own unit.
Your Wednesday picks email lists the week's Edge plays, and an injury report that adds or removes one gets an alert.
See the Edge pageThe Edge picks, a survivor planner built around the teams you've used, your Sleeper league's matchup odds and lineups, player prop projections, and the Board with line movement on every game. Every game's model pick stays free.
The games our model flags as bets each week, with unit sizing set to your own unit.
Your Wednesday picks email lists the week's Edge plays, and an injury report that adds or removes one gets an alert.
See the Edge pageOur pick from the teams you have left, and a path to Week 18 that spends the rest in the right order.
Tell it you have used the Chiefs and the Bills. It plans around them. Standard, strike and Circa formats.
See a sample planYour win probability this week, both lineups, start/sit, trades and free agents, scored under your league's rules.
Switch PPR to half or standard and watch the matchup odds move.
See the Sleeper hubPer-player projections with a matchup grade on each, for every game on the slate.
Open a game and see who has the softest matchup before you pick a line.
See this week's propsOur number beside every book's, sorted by how far apart they are, with the price history behind each one.
Plus The Read: why the model lands where it does, game by game.
Same-game parlay legs priced together, game total projections, and alternate lines priced from our projection.
A line the book never posted still gets our fair price.
See the SGP pageLog a bet from any Board row or paste a slip from your sportsbook. Every bet is graded and priced against the close.
Our number sits beside yours, so you can see whether you beat the close.
The sortable ledger explorer, with week and Edge filters and unit-sized P/L, and CSV downloads of the pick history.
Pull it into your own sheet or model.
Every game's pick, win probability and tier, the weekly survivor rankings, pick'em and confidence pool rankings, matchup pages and the full public record stay free.
$19 a month, billed every month on the same date until you cancel. There are no free months, no seasonal pause and no automatic restart: we never pause or restart your billing for you. New members get a 7-day free week and your first charge is the day it ends. Pause any time from your account: billing stops and you keep access through the period you already paid for, and if that period is over, resume restarts billing the day you press it. Cancel anytime.
Cancel anytime from Settings, no email or call.
Free is for checking a pick before kickoff.
Monthly bills every month on the same date until you cancel, with no free months and no automatic restart. Pause any time and billing stops. The Season Pass renews automatically every 12 months at $69. We email you before every renewal, cancel anytime, with a 7-day refund window (terms). Every pick tracked publicly on the Results page.
FREE Weekly survivor rankings, the safest pick, which teams to save, a season path.
PRO · YOURS Our pick from your remaining teams, your entries tracked, graded against your pool's own rules.
FREE Every pick, win probability and tier, matchup pages, the weekly briefing, strength of schedule, the full public ledger.
PRO · YOURS The Board, our number beside every book's; line movement on every market; The Read on why the model lands where it does; the money-pick ledger explorer, plus your own data exports.
FREE Our pick and the line, side by side, on every game.
PRO · YOURS The Edge, priced with Kelly sized to your own unit; player props, game totals and same-game parlays; alternate lines we priced ourselves; and My Bets, your own ledger, every wager graded against the close with our number beside it.
FREE Top weekly projections and rankings.
PRO · YOURS Your Sleeper league synced: start/sit, trades, free agents and full weekly projections, all scored under your league's own rules.
Every play the model flagged last season, settled at real closing prices.
A 19-15 record is barely over half, and that is the point. These are underdogs at an average of +108, so they do not need to win half. Winning 19 of 34 at that price is profitable, and you can check the arithmetic yourself rather than take a number from us.
Prices are the closing line (nflverse), not a fair/no-vig price and not any one sportsbook’s board. Pulled from the same live ledger as /results. Last season only, the current season’s flagged plays are what Pro is for. Past results. Not financial advice.
All-time is the 2020-2025 backtest plus live picks since Week 1 2026. The Edge at close is the 2020-2025 backtest. Past results. Not financial advice.