PLAYERS
2026 PLAYER PROJECTIONS
2026 PLAYER STAT LINES
Projected 2026 season stat lines and PPR fantasy points for every skill player — a pure model (multi-year usage × efficiency, age curves, and a games-played durability model), no betting or expert-ranking input. Floor–ceiling ranges shown.
149
TE PROJECTED
230
TOP TE PPR
| # | PLAYER | GP | REC | REC YD | REC TD | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Trey McBride ARI | 16 | 97 | 976 | 6 | 230 |
| 2 |  Brock Bowers LV | 14 | 71 | 760 | 6 | 187 |
| 3 |
ᴿ = rookie (draft-capital prior). PPR = standard PPR fantasy scoring. Ranges are the model’s floor–ceiling band (wider for rookies + thin histories).
HOW THESE ARE BUILT
Each projection is team volume × player share × efficiency: a player’s multi-year per-game usage and per-opportunity efficiency, empirical-Bayes shrunk toward the position baseline, adjusted by a frozen age curve, and scaled by an availability model that projects games played from durability history — the single biggest accuracy lever. Pure model, zero betting or expert-ranking input. On backtests it beats a naive last-year projection at every position and agrees ~68% with expert rankings. See the methodology →
QUESTIONS
