Skip to content
NoPunt
This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
What is EPAStats GlossaryPower Rankings ExplainedHow Standings WorkHow Playoffs Work
NoPunt
About NoPuntBlogFull LedgerLedger ExplorerFilter and sort, Pro
For developers
Public JSON APIData ExportsCSV, Pro
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Get every pick before kickoff.

GO PRO

PICKS

This WeekThe EdgeSurvivor PicksPick’em PicksConfidence Pool PicksCirca SurvivorTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason ReviewModel Performance

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI DocsNFL Data API
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only, no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? NY: 1-877-8-HOPENY. Elsewhere: 1-800-MY-RESET.
PrivacyTermsAPI
2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

CINVSPIT

Cincinnati Bengals
CIN#7
Cincinnati Bengals
VS
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT#21
Pittsburgh Steelers
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

CIN leads in 6 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
CIN
METRIC
PIT
+0.102
NET EPA / PLAY
-0.046
+0.072
OFF EPA / PLAY
-0.046
-0.030

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
CIN
3-2
STRAIGHT UP
60%
2-2-1
ATS
50%
PIT
3-2
STRAIGHT UP
60%
3-2
ATS
60%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
CIN
WLLWW
PIT
WLWLW

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
CIN
TENDENCY
PIT
64.3%
PASS RATE
66.2%
13.3%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
13.5%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
CIN
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP4.9%
SUPER BOWL1.8%
PIT
PLAYOFFS<1%
CONF CHAMP<1%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK10PIT @ CINCINC—PENDING
2026 WK3CIN @ PITPITCCIN 27 · PIT 30WIN
2025 WK11CIN @ PITPITCCIN 12 · PIT 34WIN
2025 WK7PIT @ CINPITCPIT 31 · CIN 33LOSS
2024 WK18CIN @ PITPITC

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
4
PICKED CIN
4 of 14 games
10
PICKED PIT
10 of 14 games
8
CORRECT PICKS
8 of 13 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
+0.000
47.1%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
41.7%
128.0
POINTS FOR
111.0
109.0
POINTS AGAINST
109.0
+19
POINT DIFF
+2
50.0%
3RD DOWN CONV
33.3%
63.6%
RED ZONE TD RATE
54.5%
4.9%
NO HUDDLE RATE
9.6%
1.94
PTS / DRIVE
1.38
<1%
CIN 19 · PIT 17
LOSS
2024 WK13PIT @ CINPITCPIT 44 · CIN 38WIN
2023 WK16CIN @ PITCINCCIN 11 · PIT 34LOSS
2023 WK12PIT @ CINPITCPIT 16 · CIN 10WIN
2022 WK11CIN @ PITCINCCIN 37 · PIT 30WIN
2022 WK1PIT @ CINPITCPIT 23 · CIN 20WIN
2021 WK12PIT @ CINCINCPIT 10 · CIN 41WIN
2021 WK3CIN @ PITPITBCIN 24 · PIT 10LOSS
2020 WK15PIT @ CINPITSPIT 17 · CIN 27LOSS
2020 WK10CIN @ PITPITSCIN 10 · PIT 36WIN