Skip to content
NoPunt
This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
What is EPAStats GlossaryPower Rankings ExplainedHow Standings WorkHow Playoffs Work
NoPunt
About NoPuntBlogFull LedgerLedger ExplorerFilter and sort, Pro
For developers
Public JSON APIData ExportsCSV, Pro
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Get every pick before kickoff.

GO PRO

PICKS

This WeekThe EdgeSurvivor PicksPick’em PicksConfidence Pool PicksCirca SurvivorTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason ReviewModel Performance

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI DocsNFL Data API
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only, no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? NY: 1-877-8-HOPENY. Elsewhere: 1-800-MY-RESET.
PrivacyTermsAPI
2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

TENVSJAX

Tennessee Titans
TEN#32
Tennessee Titans
VS
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX#2
Jacksonville Jaguars
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

JAX leads in 7 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
TEN
METRIC
JAX
-0.228
NET EPA / PLAY
+0.239
-0.149
OFF EPA / PLAY
+0.151
+0.078

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
TEN
0-5
STRAIGHT UP
0%
2-3
ATS
40%
JAX
4-1
STRAIGHT UP
80%
3-2
ATS
60%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
TEN
LLLLL
L5 STREAK
JAX
WWWLW
W3 STREAK

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
TEN
TENDENCY
JAX
60.6%
PASS RATE
53.1%
16.2%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
13.3%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
TEN
PLAYOFFS<1%
CONF CHAMP<1%
SUPER BOWL<1%
JAX
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP49.2%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK12TEN @ JAXJAXS—PENDING
2026 WK10JAX @ TENJAXS—PENDING
2025 WK18TEN @ JAXJAXSTEN 7 · JAX 41WIN
2025 WK13JAX @ TENJAXA+JAX 25 · TEN 3WIN
2024 WK17TEN @ JAXJAXB

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
5
PICKED TEN
5 of 14 games
9
PICKED JAX
9 of 14 games
10
CORRECT PICKS
10 of 12 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
-0.088
40.5%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
46.9%
58.0
POINTS FOR
123.0
109.0
POINTS AGAINST
70.0
-51
POINT DIFF
+53
35.6%
3RD DOWN CONV
46.7%
45.5%
RED ZONE TD RATE
81.8%
15.0%
NO HUDDLE RATE
4.2%
0.89
PTS / DRIVE
2.13
26.2%
TEN 13 · JAX 20
WIN
2024 WK14JAX @ TENJAXBJAX 10 · TEN 6WIN
2023 WK18JAX @ TENJAXBJAX 20 · TEN 28LOSS
2023 WK11TEN @ JAXJAXA+TEN 14 · JAX 34WIN
2022 WK18TEN @ JAXJAXATEN 16 · JAX 20WIN
2022 WK14JAX @ TENTENBJAX 36 · TEN 22LOSS
2021 WK14JAX @ TENTENA+JAX 0 · TEN 20WIN
2021 WK5TEN @ JAXTENA+TEN 37 · JAX 19WIN
2020 WK14TEN @ JAXTENA+TEN 31 · JAX 10WIN
2020 WK2JAX @ TENTENBJAX 30 · TEN 33WIN