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2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

BUFVSNE

Buffalo Bills
BUF#9
Buffalo Bills
VS
New England Patriots
NE#12
New England Patriots
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

BUF leads in 5 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
BUF
METRIC
NE
+0.076
NET EPA / PLAY
+0.054
+0.204
OFF EPA / PLAY
+0.040
+0.128

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
BUF
5-1
STRAIGHT UP
83%
4-2
ATS
67%
NE
4-2
STRAIGHT UP
67%
3-2-1
ATS
60%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
BUF
WWLWW
W2 STREAK
NE
WWWLW
W3 STREAK

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
BUF
TENDENCY
NE
52.5%
PASS RATE
52.9%
14.8%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
26.3%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
BUF
PLAYOFFS90.8%
CONF CHAMP5.2%
SUPER BOWL1.7%
NE
PLAYOFFS77.3%
CONF CHAMP2.6%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK13BUF @ NEBUFC—PENDING
2026 WK4NE @ BUFBUFBNE 29 · BUF 26LOSS
2025 WK15BUF @ NENEBBUF 35 · NE 31LOSS
2025 WK5NE @ BUFBUFSNE 23 · BUF 20LOSS
2024 WK18BUF @ NEBUFS

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
11
PICKED BUF
11 of 14 games
3
PICKED NE
3 of 14 games
7
CORRECT PICKS
7 of 13 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
-0.014
48.9%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
45.0%
197.0
POINTS FOR
136.0
171.0
POINTS AGAINST
113.0
+26
POINT DIFF
+23
49.2%
3RD DOWN CONV
41.6%
66.7%
RED ZONE TD RATE
63.6%
4.0%
NO HUDDLE RATE
0.5%
2.68
PTS / DRIVE
1.69
0.9%
BUF 16 · NE 23
LOSS
2024 WK16NE @ BUFBUFSNE 21 · BUF 24WIN
2023 WK17NE @ BUFBUFA+NE 21 · BUF 27WIN
2023 WK7BUF @ NEBUFA+BUF 25 · NE 29LOSS
2022 WK18NE @ BUFBUFA+NE 23 · BUF 35WIN
2022 WK13BUF @ NEBUFBBUF 24 · NE 10WIN
2021 WK16BUF @ NENECBUF 33 · NE 21LOSS
2021 WK13NE @ BUFNECNE 14 · BUF 10WIN
2020 WK16BUF @ NEBUFBBUF 38 · NE 9WIN
2020 WK8NE @ BUFBUFBNE 21 · BUF 24WIN