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2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

NEVSBUF

New England Patriots
NE#11
New England Patriots
VS
Buffalo Bills
BUF#9
Buffalo Bills
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

BUF leads in 5 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
NE
METRIC
BUF
+0.055
NET EPA / PLAY
+0.077
+0.046
OFF EPA / PLAY
+0.210
-0.009

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
NE
3-2
STRAIGHT UP
60%
3-1-1
ATS
75%
BUF
4-1
STRAIGHT UP
80%
4-1
ATS
80%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
NE
WWLWL
W2 STREAK
BUF
WLWWW

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
NE
TENDENCY
BUF
54.0%
PASS RATE
51.5%
25.0%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
19.1%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
NE
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP2.1%
SUPER BOWL0.6%
BUF
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP4.1%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

14 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK13BUF @ NENEB—PENDING
2026 WK4NE @ BUFBUFBNE 29 · BUF 26LOSS
2025 WK15BUF @ NENEBBUF 35 · NE 31LOSS
2025 WK5NE @ BUFBUFSNE 23 · BUF 20LOSS
2024 WK18BUF @ NEBUFS

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 14 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
4
PICKED NE
4 of 14 games
10
PICKED BUF
10 of 14 games
7
CORRECT PICKS
7 of 13 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
+0.134
45.4%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
49.1%
110.0
POINTS FOR
164.0
94.0
POINTS AGAINST
141.0
+16
POINT DIFF
+23
38.7%
3RD DOWN CONV
51.0%
63.6%
RED ZONE TD RATE
71.4%
0.6%
NO HUDDLE RATE
4.1%
1.61
PTS / DRIVE
2.75
1.3%
BUF 16 · NE 23
LOSS
2024 WK16NE @ BUFBUFSNE 21 · BUF 24WIN
2023 WK17NE @ BUFBUFA+NE 21 · BUF 27WIN
2023 WK7BUF @ NEBUFA+BUF 25 · NE 29LOSS
2022 WK18NE @ BUFBUFA+NE 23 · BUF 35WIN
2022 WK13BUF @ NEBUFBBUF 24 · NE 10WIN
2021 WK16BUF @ NENECBUF 33 · NE 21LOSS
2021 WK13NE @ BUFNECNE 14 · BUF 10WIN
2020 WK16BUF @ NEBUFBBUF 38 · NE 9WIN
2020 WK8NE @ BUFBUFBNE 21 · BUF 24WIN