Skip to content
NoPunt
This Week
Predictions
Start hereHow it worksThree models vote on every game. We publish the method, the calibration and every miss.Read the methodology →
The games
Game PredictionsLive Win ProbabilityAll 32 TeamsCompare Two Teams
2026 season
Projections HubPlayer ProjectionsPlayoff PictureSuper Bowl OddsAward Odds
Where teams stand
StandingsPower RankingsPlayoff OddsStrength of ScheduleRemaining Schedule
The model
MethodologyModel HealthCalibration, in publicModel vs MarketOur Wins vs Vegas
Betting
Start hereThe EdgeThe short list of games the model flags as bets, with unit sizing and the price we would take.See this week’s Edge →
The Edge
This Week’s EdgeFlagged bets, ProModel EdgesBankroll & Sizing
Markets
Game TotalsPlayer PropsSame-Game Parlay
Pools
Survivor PicksRanked by win probabilityCirca SurvivorEntries alive + availabilityPick'em PicksEvery game, straight upConfidence Pool PicksPoints + expected pointsHow Pools Work
Getting sharper
Expected ValueClosing Line ValueWhat ATS Means
Fantasy
Start hereFantasy HubSync your league and get lineups, trade grades and waiver targets under your exact scoring.Connect a league →
Your week
Projections & Start/SitFantasy HubSync your leagueDefense vs Position
Players
Stat LeadersPlayer RatingsNoPunt Player RatingNext Gen StatsAdvanced Stats
Context
Coaching TendenciesSeason OutlookMost Dramatic Games
Results
Learn
Start hereNew here?Eleven plain-English guides, from what a spread is to how closing line value works.Start with the basics →
Betting basics
All GuidesHow Spreads WorkOdds ExplainedBankroll ManagementBetting CalculatorsFree, no login
The game
What is EPAStats GlossaryPower Rankings ExplainedHow Standings WorkHow Playoffs Work
NoPunt
About NoPuntBlogFull LedgerLedger ExplorerFilter and sort, Pro
For developers
Public JSON APIData ExportsCSV, Pro
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Get every pick before kickoff.

GO PRO

PICKS

This WeekThe EdgeSurvivor PicksPick’em PicksConfidence Pool PicksCirca SurvivorTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason ReviewModel Performance

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI DocsNFL Data API
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only, no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? NY: 1-877-8-HOPENY. Elsewhere: 1-800-MY-RESET.
PrivacyTermsAPI
2026 SEASON · HEAD-TO-HEAD

WASVSSEA

Washington Commanders
WAS#23
Washington Commanders
VS
Seattle Seahawks
SEA#10
Seattle Seahawks
CHANGE TEAMS
VS

SEA leads in 6 of 7 statistical categories

STAT COMPARISON

2026 SEASON · EPA PER PLAY
WAS
METRIC
SEA
-0.056
NET EPA / PLAY
+0.060
-0.015
OFF EPA / PLAY
-0.073
+0.041

BETTING RECORDS

2026 SEASON · W-L AND ATS
WAS
1-3
STRAIGHT UP
25%
2-2
ATS
50%
SEA
3-3
STRAIGHT UP
50%
1-3-2
ATS
25%

RECENT FORM

2026 SEASON · LAST 5 GAMES
WAS
TLWLL
SEA
LLWLW
L2 STREAK

COACHING TENDENCIES

2026 SEASON · PLAY-BY-PLAY DERIVED
WAS
TENDENCY
SEA
54.5%
PASS RATE
53.7%
16.3%
4TH DOWN GO RATE
16.7%

PLAYOFF ODDS

2026 SEASON · MONTE CARLO SIMULATION
WAS
PLAYOFFS<1%
CONF CHAMP<1%
SUPER BOWL<1%
SEA
PLAYOFFS>99%
CONF CHAMP4.3%
SUPER BOWL

RECENT MEETINGS

5 GAMES ON FILE
SEASON / WKMATCHUPOUR PICKSCORERESULT
2026 WK3SEA @ WASSEAA+SEA 31 · WAS 33LOSS
2025 WK9SEA @ WASSEABSEA 38 · WAS 14WIN
2023 WK10WAS @ SEASEABWAS 26 · SEA 29WIN
2021 WK12SEA @ WASWASCSEA 15 · WAS 17WIN
2020 WK15SEA @ WASSEAC

PICK HISTORY

ALL-TIME · 5 MEETINGS SINCE 2020
1
PICKED WAS
1 of 5 games
4
PICKED SEA
4 of 5 games
4
CORRECT PICKS
4 of 5 graded
Weekly Picks →Power Rankings →All Teams →Defense Rankings →Schedule Strength →Standings →
DEF EPA / PLAY
-0.133
39.8%
OFF SUCCESS RATE
41.5%
115.0
POINTS FOR
134.0
149.0
POINTS AGAINST
105.0
-34
POINT DIFF
+29
31.9%
3RD DOWN CONV
29.8%
63.6%
RED ZONE TD RATE
75.0%
8.2%
NO HUDDLE RATE
1.4%
1.45
PTS / DRIVE
1.75
1.3%
SEA 20 · WAS 15
WIN