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AFC
AFC · 2026 DIVISION RACE

AFC North 2026

We project the Ravens to win the AFC North in 48% of simulations, ahead of the Steelers at 21%. Full projected order of finish below.

Ravens
PROJECTED WINNER
48%
DIVISION ODDS
9.9
RAVENS PROJ WINS
1
PROJ PLAYOFF TEAMS
10,000 SIMULATIONS · REAL 2026 SCHEDULE

PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

BY EXPECTED WINS · 10,000 SIMS
#TEAMPROJ WRANGEDIV ODDSPLAYOFF
1
Baltimore Ravens
BAL
Ravens
9.97–1348%68%
2
Pittsburgh Steelers
PIT
Steelers
8.45–1221%42%
3
Cleveland Browns
CLE
Browns
8.15–1118%36%
4
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN
Bengals
7.95–1114%31%

AFC NORTH 2026 · FAQ

Who is projected to win the AFC North in 2026?
Baltimore Ravens are our projected AFC North winner, taking the division in 48% of 10,000 simulations at 9.9 expected wins.
What are the projected AFC North standings for 2026?
By expected wins: 1. Baltimore Ravens (9.9), 2. Pittsburgh Steelers (8.4), 3. Cleveland Browns (8.1), 4. Cincinnati Bengals (7.9).
Which AFC North teams make the playoffs in 2026?
Baltimore Ravens (68%) are projected above 50% to reach the playoffs.

OTHER 2026 DIVISION RACES

AFC EASTAFC SOUTHAFC WESTNFC EASTNFC NORTHNFC SOUTHNFC WESTALL 32 TEAMS →
Offseason priors from 10,000 simulations of the real 2026 schedule; team strength starts from regressed 2025 EPA and does not yet know free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season odds take over in September. Projection by Noah Owsiany, M.S. Business Analytics.
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