Skip to content
NoPunt
PicksThe EdgeResultsRankingsTeamsPlayers
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Picks return in September.

EXPLORE THE RECORD

PICKS

Latest PicksThe EdgeSurvivor PicksTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason Review

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI Docs
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only — no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
PrivacyTermsAPI
NFC
NFC · 2026 DIVISION RACE

NFC South 2026

We project the Buccaneers to win the NFC South in 37% of simulations, ahead of the Falcons at 29%. Full projected order of finish below.

Buccaneers
PROJECTED WINNER
37%
DIVISION ODDS
8.8
BUCCANEERS PROJ WINS
0
PROJ PLAYOFF TEAMS
10,000 SIMULATIONS · REAL 2026 SCHEDULE

PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

BY EXPECTED WINS · 10,000 SIMS
#TEAMPROJ WRANGEDIV ODDSPLAYOFF
1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB
Buccaneers
8.86–1237%49%
2
Atlanta Falcons
ATL
Falcons
8.45–1229%41%
3
New Orleans Saints
NO
Saints
8.25–1125%35%
4
Carolina Panthers
CAR
Panthers
6.64–109%15%

NFC SOUTH 2026 · FAQ

Who is projected to win the NFC South in 2026?
Tampa Bay Buccaneers are our projected NFC South winner, taking the division in 37% of 10,000 simulations at 8.8 expected wins.
What are the projected NFC South standings for 2026?
By expected wins: 1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8.8), 2. Atlanta Falcons (8.4), 3. New Orleans Saints (8.2), 4. Carolina Panthers (6.6).
Which NFC South teams make the playoffs in 2026?
No NFC South team is projected above 50% to reach the playoffs, a sign of a tight, low-separation division.

OTHER 2026 DIVISION RACES

AFC EASTAFC NORTHAFC SOUTHAFC WESTNFC EASTNFC NORTHNFC WESTALL 32 TEAMS →
Offseason priors from 10,000 simulations of the real 2026 schedule; team strength starts from regressed 2025 EPA and does not yet know free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season odds take over in September. Projection by Noah Owsiany, M.S. Business Analytics.