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NFC
NFC · 2026 DIVISION RACE

NFC North 2026

We project the Lions to win the NFC North in 41% of simulations, ahead of the Packers at 28%. Full projected order of finish below.

Lions
PROJECTED WINNER
41%
DIVISION ODDS
10.2
LIONS PROJ WINS
2
PROJ PLAYOFF TEAMS
10,000 SIMULATIONS · REAL 2026 SCHEDULE

PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

BY EXPECTED WINS · 10,000 SIMS
#TEAMPROJ WRANGEDIV ODDSPLAYOFF
1
Detroit Lions
DET
Lions
10.27–1341%69%
2
Green Bay Packers
GB
Packers
9.56–1328%58%
3
Minnesota Vikings
MIN
Vikings
8.86–1217%44%
4
Chicago Bears
CHI
Bears
8.45–1214%39%

NFC NORTH 2026 · FAQ

Who is projected to win the NFC North in 2026?
Detroit Lions are our projected NFC North winner, taking the division in 41% of 10,000 simulations at 10.2 expected wins.
What are the projected NFC North standings for 2026?
By expected wins: 1. Detroit Lions (10.2), 2. Green Bay Packers (9.5), 3. Minnesota Vikings (8.8), 4. Chicago Bears (8.4).
Which NFC North teams make the playoffs in 2026?
Detroit Lions (69%), Green Bay Packers (58%) are projected above 50% to reach the playoffs.

OTHER 2026 DIVISION RACES

AFC EASTAFC NORTHAFC SOUTHAFC WESTNFC EASTNFC SOUTHNFC WESTALL 32 TEAMS →
Offseason priors from 10,000 simulations of the real 2026 schedule; team strength starts from regressed 2025 EPA and does not yet know free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season odds take over in September. Projection by Noah Owsiany, M.S. Business Analytics.
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