Skip to content
NoPunt
PicksThe EdgeResultsRankingsTeamsPlayers
GO PRO
NoPunt

Every NFL pick on the record, win or lose. We publish live picks before kickoff. We track every loss. The receipts are all here.

Picks return in September.

EXPLORE THE RECORD

PICKS

Latest PicksThe EdgeSurvivor PicksTrack RecordTeamsCompareStandingsPower RankingsPlayoff Odds2026 Projections2026 Playoff Picture2026 Super Bowl Odds2026 Game Predictions

ANALYTICS

FantasyDefenseCoachingGame TotalsPlayer PropsModel EdgeStat LeadersPlayer RatingsSGP BuilderSchedule StrengthSeason OutlookSeason AwardsSeason Review

LEARN

NFL SpreadsBetting OddsATS ExplainedEPA in FootballStats GlossaryAbout

MORE

Go ProDashboardPick LedgerMethodologyModel HonestyData ExportsAPI Docs
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only — no guaranteed outcomes. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
PrivacyTermsAPI
NFC
NFC · 2026 DIVISION RACE

NFC North 2026

We project the Lions to win the NFC North in 41% of simulations, ahead of the Packers at 28%. Full projected order of finish below.

Lions
PROJECTED WINNER
41%
DIVISION ODDS
10.2
LIONS PROJ WINS
2
PROJ PLAYOFF TEAMS
10,000 SIMULATIONS · REAL 2026 SCHEDULE

PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

BY EXPECTED WINS · 10,000 SIMS
#TEAMPROJ WRANGEDIV ODDSPLAYOFF
1
Detroit Lions
DET
Lions
10.27–1341%69%
2
Green Bay Packers
GB
Packers
9.56–1328%58%
3
Minnesota Vikings
MIN
Vikings
8.86–1217%44%
4
Chicago Bears
CHI
Bears
8.45–1214%39%

NFC NORTH 2026 · FAQ

Who is projected to win the NFC North in 2026?
Detroit Lions are our projected NFC North winner, taking the division in 41% of 10,000 simulations at 10.2 expected wins.
What are the projected NFC North standings for 2026?
By expected wins: 1. Detroit Lions (10.2), 2. Green Bay Packers (9.5), 3. Minnesota Vikings (8.8), 4. Chicago Bears (8.4).
Which NFC North teams make the playoffs in 2026?
Detroit Lions (69%), Green Bay Packers (58%) are projected above 50% to reach the playoffs.

OTHER 2026 DIVISION RACES

AFC EASTAFC NORTHAFC SOUTHAFC WESTNFC EASTNFC SOUTHNFC WESTALL 32 TEAMS →
Offseason priors from 10,000 simulations of the real 2026 schedule; team strength starts from regressed 2025 EPA and does not yet know free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season odds take over in September. Projection by Noah Owsiany, M.S. Business Analytics.