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NFC
NFC · 2026 DIVISION RACE

NFC West 2026

We project the Rams to win the NFC West in 40% of simulations, ahead of the Seahawks at 27%. Full projected order of finish below.

Rams
PROJECTED WINNER
40%
DIVISION ODDS
9.9
RAMS PROJ WINS
3
PROJ PLAYOFF TEAMS
10,000 SIMULATIONS · REAL 2026 SCHEDULE

PROJECTED ORDER OF FINISH

BY EXPECTED WINS · 10,000 SIMS
#TEAMPROJ WRANGEDIV ODDSPLAYOFF
1
Los Angeles Rams
LAR
Rams
9.97–1340%67%
2
Seattle Seahawks
SEA
Seahawks
9.36–1227%55%
3
San Francisco 49ers
SF
49ers
9.16–1225%50%
4
Arizona Cardinals
ARI
Cardinals
7.54–118%22%

NFC WEST 2026 · FAQ

Who is projected to win the NFC West in 2026?
Los Angeles Rams are our projected NFC West winner, taking the division in 40% of 10,000 simulations at 9.9 expected wins.
What are the projected NFC West standings for 2026?
By expected wins: 1. Los Angeles Rams (9.9), 2. Seattle Seahawks (9.3), 3. San Francisco 49ers (9.1), 4. Arizona Cardinals (7.5).
Which NFC West teams make the playoffs in 2026?
Los Angeles Rams (67%), Seattle Seahawks (55%), San Francisco 49ers (50%) are projected above 50% to reach the playoffs.

OTHER 2026 DIVISION RACES

AFC EASTAFC NORTHAFC SOUTHAFC WESTNFC EASTNFC NORTHNFC SOUTHALL 32 TEAMS →
Offseason priors from 10,000 simulations of the real 2026 schedule; team strength starts from regressed 2025 EPA and does not yet know free agency, the draft, or injuries. In-season odds take over in September. Projection by Noah Owsiany, M.S. Business Analytics.
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