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Dashboard

  • SUN 1:00A+Cleveland BrownsCLEJacksonville JaguarsJAX
  • MON 8:15A+Denver BroncosDENKansas City ChiefsKC
  • SUN 4:25A+Arizona CardinalsARILos Angeles ChargersLAC
  • SUN 4:25AWashington CommandersWASPhiladelphia EaglesPHI
  • SUN 4:25BMiami DolphinsMIALas Vegas RaidersLV
DASHBOARD
WEEK 1 CARD
PICK OF THE WEEKA+ TIER
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX
CLE @ JAX · SUN 1:00 PM
A+
TIER
79%
CONFIDENCE
2.0u
KELLY SIZE
Denver Broncos
DEN @ KC
DEN · MON 8:15 PM
A+
76%
Los Angeles Chargers
ARI @ LAC
LAC · SUN 4:25 PM
A+
75%
Philadelphia Eagles
WAS @ PHI
PHI · SUN 4:25 PM

SEASON PERFORMANCE

PERFORMANCE BREAKDOWN ↓ · FULL RESULTS →
ALL-TIME ALL-PICKS P/L · 1U FLAT (2020-2025)
+$102
1070-540-5 · 66.5% WIN RATE
MODEL MOMENTUM
1W
▲
CURRENT STREAK
W
W
W
L
L
W
W
W
L
W
S-TIER ACCURACY · ALL-TIME
83.7%
72-14
S-TIER RECORD
A+ 75.1%
A 68.0%
B 66.3%

TOP EDGES THIS WEEK

MODEL vs MARKET
PRO: THE EDGE + MODEL EDGESVIEW WITH PRO
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ALL-TIME NUMBERS

EVERY PICK SINCE 2020
66.5%
ALL-TIME ACCURACY
51.5%
ATS COVER RATE
83.7%
S-TIER HIT RATE

EXPLORE

EVERY TOOL THE MODEL POWERS
POWER RANKINGS
EPA composite rankings for all 32 teams
FANTASY
PPR projections + start/sit recommendations
DEF vs POSITION
Exploit matchups by defensive weakness
FULL RESULTS
Every pick tracked since 2020
METHODOLOGY
How the model works
SUN 1:00BChicago BearsCHICarolina PanthersCAR
  • WED 8:20BNew England PatriotsNESeattle SeahawksSEA
  • THU 8:35BSan Francisco 49ersSFLos Angeles RamsLAR
  • SUN 1:00BNew Orleans SaintsNODetroit LionsDET
  • SUN 4:25BGreen Bay PackersGBMinnesota VikingsMIN
  • SUN 1:00BBaltimore RavensBALIndianapolis ColtsIND
  • SUN 1:00BTampa Bay BuccaneersTBCincinnati BengalsCIN
  • SUN 1:00BAtlanta FalconsATLPittsburgh SteelersPIT
  • SUN 8:20CDallas CowboysDALNew York GiantsNYG
  • SUN 1:00CBuffalo BillsBUFHouston TexansHOU
  • SUN 1:00CNew York JetsNYJTennessee TitansTEN
    • This game
    OverviewKey playersInjuriesTeam comparisonConditions
    Pro
    The EdgePROPropsPROStart / sitPRO
    CHIChicago Bears at Carolina PanthersSUN 1:00 PM
    Pick
    CHI
    Win prob
    65%
    Our line
    -5.2
    Spread
    -2.5
    Tier
    B
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    The EdgePRO
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    Per-player prop projections with matchup grades and the model's edge on each line.
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    PPR projections and start/sit calls, matchup-adjusted every week.
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    A
    71%
    Miami Dolphins
    MIA @ LV
    MIA · SUN 4:25 PM
    B
    70%
    Chicago Bears
    CHI @ CAR
    CHI · SUN 1:00 PM
    B
    65%
    Seattle Seahawks
    NE @ SEA
    SEA · WED 8:20 PM
    B
    65%
    Los Angeles Rams
    SF @ LA
    LA · THU 8:35 PM
    B
    65%
    Detroit Lions
    NO @ DET
    DET · SUN 1:00 PM
    B
    64%
    Minnesota Vikings
    GB @ MIN
    MIN · SUN 4:25 PM
    B
    63%
    Baltimore Ravens
    BAL @ IND
    BAL · SUN 1:00 PM
    B
    63%
    Cincinnati Bengals
    TB @ CIN
    CIN · SUN 1:00 PM
    B
    61%
    Pittsburgh Steelers
    ATL @ PIT
    PIT · SUN 1:00 PM
    B
    60%
    Dallas Cowboys
    DAL @ NYG
    DAL · SUN 8:20 PM
    C
    63%
    Houston Texans
    BUF @ HOU
    HOU · SUN 1:00 PM
    C
    62%
    Tennessee Titans
    NYJ @ TEN
    TEN · SUN 1:00 PM
    C
    60%