2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DET @ IND – Week 12 2024
DET
IND
DET
AWAY
24@6
DET +18
FINAL · WEEK 12
2024 SEASON
IND
HOME
TIER A
PICK: DET
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DET 70%Projected margin: -6.0
DET
PICK SIDE
-7.0
SPREAD
-6.0
PROJ MARGIN
-274
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DET A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked DET. Projected margin: 6.0. Actual: 18. Off by 12.0 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 11.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -7.0 | DET market line | |
| MODEL ML | -274 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -375 | Won · +$0.36 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DET
road_favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)Road Favorite 6-1 ATS (86%)Divisional 4-1 ATS (80%)
IND
divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
DET
J.Gibbs
RB
354.9SEASON PPR
J.Goff
QB
324.5SEASON PPR
A.St. Brown
WR
316.2SEASON PPR
IND
J.Taylor
RB
246.7SEASON PPR
J.Downs
WR
182.2SEASON PPR
M.Pittman
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 1 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| IND@DETW8 2020 | IND 41, DET 21 | IND | W |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES