2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
SF @ GB – Week 12 2024
SF
GB
SF
AWAY
10@38
GB +28
FINAL · WEEK 12
2024 SEASON
GB
HOME
TIER C
PICK: GB
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: GB 66%Projected margin: 4.0
GB
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
4.0
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
GB C-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked GB. Projected margin: 4.0. Actual: 28. Off by 24.0 points but directionally right.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 21.5 points.
Another data point for the model. C-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | GB market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -290 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
SF
road_favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Road Favorite 1-4 ATS (20%)Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
GB
road_favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)Road Favorite 2-3 ATS (40%)Divisional 0-5 ATS (0%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
43°F
WIND
11 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2024 SEASON
SF
B.Purdy
QB
266.9SEASON PPR
G.Kittle
TE
236.6SEASON PPR
J.Jennings
WR
210.5SEASON PPR
GB
J.Jacobs
RB
293.1SEASON PPR
J.Love
QB
233.9SEASON PPR
J.Reed
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 12
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| GB@SFW3 2021 | GB 30, SF 28 | GB | W |
| GB@SFW9 2020 | GB 34, SF 17 | GB | W |
WEEK 12 · OTHER GAMES