ARI @ DEN – Week 15 2022

ARI B-tier pick misses. DEN takes it.

Model picked ARI but DEN won. Projected margin was 2.4 -- the model overestimated by 11.4 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 7.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.