2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
NYG @ WAS – Week 15 2022
NYG
WAS
NYG
AWAY
20@12
NYG +8
FINAL · WEEK 15
2022 SEASON
WAS
HOME
TIER A
PICK: WAS
PICK LOSTATS ✗
Model confidence: WAS 72%Projected margin: 6.4
WAS
PICK SIDE
-4.5
SPREAD
6.4
PROJ MARGIN
-191
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
MISSED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
WAS A-tier pick misses. NYG takes it.
MISSED
Model picked WAS but NYG won. Projected margin was 6.4 -- the model overestimated by 14.4 points.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 12.5 points.
DRAMATIC
The win probability swung past 50% 1 time. A competitive game throughout.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -4.5 | WAS market line | |
| MODEL ML | -191 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -203 | Lost · -$1.00 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
WAS
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
TEMP
35°F
WIND
13 MPH
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
138.5SEASON PPR
WAS
Terry McLaurin
WR
229.0SEASON PPR
Curtis Samuel
WR
176.3SEASON PPR
Antonio Gibson
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| WAS@NYGW15 2025 | WAS 29, NYG 21 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW1 2025 | NYG 6, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
| WAS@NYGW9 2024 | WAS 27, NYG 22 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW2 2024 | NYG 18, WAS 21 | WAS | W |
| NYG@WASW11 2023 | NYG 31, WAS 19 | WAS | L |
WEEK 15 · OTHER GAMES