TIER BPICK: BUF
PICK WONATS ✗
Model confidence: BUF 69%Projected margin: 5.4
GAME NARRATIVE
BUF B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected BUF by 5.4. Actual: 3 points. The model was within 2.4 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 4 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
ATS MISS
Missed the spread by 4.0 points.
COLD GAME
29°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
MIA
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
BUF
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 15
MIA6 LISTEDElijah Campbell
CB · Concussion
OUT
Teddy Bridgewater
QB · Knee
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS