BAL @ CLE – Week 15 2022

BAL B-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.

Model picked BAL but CLE won. Projected margin was 2.3 -- the model overestimated by 12.3 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 7.5 points.

34°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.