SF @ DEN – Week 3 2022

SF B-tier pick misses. DEN takes it.

Model picked SF but DEN won. Projected margin was 4.7 -- the model overestimated by 5.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 8 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 2.0 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.