2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
DAL @ NYG – Week 3 2022
DAL
NYG
DAL
AWAY
23@16
DAL +7
FINAL · WEEK 3
2022 SEASON
NYG
HOME
TIER A
PICK: DAL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: DAL 71%Projected margin: -6.1
DAL
PICK SIDE
+1.0
SPREAD
-6.1
PROJ MARGIN
+115
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
DAL A-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
NAILED IT
Model projected DAL by 6.1. Actual: 7 points. The model was within 0.9 points of the real margin.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 7 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.0 points.
Another data point for the model. A-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | +1.0 | DAL market line | |
| MODEL ML | +115 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | +109 | Won · +$1.15 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
DAL
Road Favorite 1-3 ATS (25%)
NYG
Divisional 4-2 ATS (67%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
DAL
CeeDee Lamb
WR
301.6SEASON PPR
Tony Pollard
RB
248.8SEASON PPR
Dak Prescott
QB
198.6SEASON PPR
NYG
Daniel Jones
QB
289.0SEASON PPR
Saquon Barkley
RB
284.0SEASON PPR
Richie James
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| DAL@NYGW18 2025 | DAL 17, NYG 34 | DAL | L |
| NYG@DALW2 2025 | NYG 37, DAL 40 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW13 2024 | NYG 20, DAL 27 | DAL | W |
| DAL@NYGW4 2024 | DAL 20, NYG 15 | DAL | W |
| NYG@DALW10 2023 | NYG 17, DAL 49 | DAL | W |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES