2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
CIN @ NYJ – Week 3 2022
CIN
NYJ
CIN
AWAY
27@12
CIN +15
FINAL · WEEK 3
2022 SEASON
NYJ
HOME
TIER B
PICK: CIN
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 65%Projected margin: -3.7
CIN
PICK SIDE
-6.5
SPREAD
-3.7
PROJ MARGIN
-255
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked CIN. Projected margin: 3.7. Actual: 15. Off by 11.3 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 3 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 8.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -6.5 | CIN market line | |
| MODEL ML | -255 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | -247 | Won · +$0.39 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
Road Favorite 6-2 ATS (75%)Divisional 3-2 ATS (60%)
NYJ
Home Underdog 2-3 ATS (40%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
OUTDOOR
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2022 SEASON
CIN
Joe Burrow
QB
350.7SEASON PPR
Ja'Marr Chase
WR
242.4SEASON PPR
Joe Mixon
RB
239.5SEASON PPR
NYJ
Garrett Wilson
WR
215.7SEASON PPR
Tyler Conklin
TE
131.5SEASON PPR
Michael Carter
RB
INJURY REPORTWEEK 3
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| NYJ@CINW8 2025 | NYJ 39, CIN 38 | CIN | L |
| CIN@NYJW8 2021 | CIN 31, NYJ 34 | CIN | L |
WEEK 3 · OTHER GAMES