DEN @ BUF – Week 10 2023

BUF A+-tier pick misses. DEN takes it.

Model picked BUF but DEN won. Projected margin was 8.7 -- the model overestimated by 10.7 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 11 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 9.5 points.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.