2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
ATL @ ARI – Week 16 2025
ATL
ARI
ATL
AWAY
26@19
ATL +7
FINAL · WEEK 16
2025 SEASON
ARI
HOME
TIER B
PICK: ATL
PICK WONATS ✓
Model confidence: ATL 66%Projected margin: -3.2
ATL
PICK SIDE
-2.5
SPREAD
-3.2
PROJ MARGIN
-143
MODEL ML
—
LIVE ML
COVERED
VS SPREAD
TEAM COMPARISON
GAME NARRATIVE
ATL B-tier pick hits. Model was directionally correct.
CORRECT
Model correctly picked ATL. Projected margin: 3.2. Actual: 7. Off by 3.8 points but directionally right.
INSTANT CLASSIC
The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 4.5 points.
Another data point for the model. B-tier picks continue to track.
BETTING LINE
| FIELD | VALUE | NOTES | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SPREAD | -2.5 | ATL market line | |
| MODEL ML | -143 | Our fair-value moneyline | |
| LIVE ML | — | Last observed market ML | |
| RESULT | — | Won · +$0.70 |
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
ATL
Divisional 2-4 ATS (33%)
ARI
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)Home Underdog 1-5 ATS (17%)
GAME WEATHER
VENUE
DOME
CLIMATE CONTROLLED
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2025 SEASON
ATL
B.Robinson
RB
370.8SEASON PPR
K.Pitts
TE
210.8SEASON PPR
D.London
WR
201.9SEASON PPR
ARI
T.McBride
TE
315.9SEASON PPR
J.Brissett
QB
227.4SEASON PPR
Mi.Wilson
WR
INJURY REPORTWEEK 16
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 2 MEETINGS
| GAME | SCORE | PICK | RESULT |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATL@ARIW10 2023 | ATL 23, ARI 25 | ATL | L |
| ARI@ATLW17 2022 | ARI 19, ATL 20 | ATL | W |
WEEK 16 · OTHER GAMES