NFL WEEK 5 2021 PREDICTIONS & PICKS
16 GAMESUPDATED JUL 4, 2026
THE SHORT ANSWER
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 5 2021.
The most confident pick, the Tennessee Titans at 69%, won 37-19.
Our most confident Week 5 pick is the Tennessee Titans over the Jacksonville Jaguars, at 69% win probability.
5 of 16 games on the Week 5 slate are effective coin flips, under 55% win probability.
WHAT WE GOT WRONG
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Carolina Panthers at 59% win probability lost 18-21.
The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-3 (40%) against a 58% all-time rate.
PROEvery pick's read, side, tier, win probability, spread, is free. The Edge (the games we flag as bets) and Kelly sizing are Pro.
FILTER
QUESTIONS
Our safest Week 5 2021 pick is the Tennessee Titans over the Jacksonville Jaguars, at 69% win probability.
5 of 16 games in Week 5 2021 are effective coin flips on our model, under 55% win probability.
NoPunt's model picks every game of Week 5, 2021, tier-graded from S (strongest) to C, with a win probability, predicted margin and spread for each. See the full slate on this page.
NoPunt went 12-4 straight up in Week 5 2021.
Our highest-probability miss this week: the Carolina Panthers at 59% win probability lost 18-21. The C-tier underperformed its historical hit rate this week: 2-3 (40%) against a 58% all-time rate.