TIER BPICK: CIN
PICK LOSTATS ✓
Model confidence: CIN 57%Projected margin: -2.9
GAME NARRATIVE
CIN B-tier pick misses. CLE takes it.
MISSED
Model picked CIN but CLE won. Projected margin was 2.9 -- the model overestimated by 7.9 points.
COVERED
This pick covered the spread by 1.5 points.
HIGH WIND
22 MPH winds at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.
Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.
SITUATIONAL TRENDS
CIN
Divisional 5-1 ATS (83%)
CLE
Divisional 1-5 ATS (17%)
WIN PROBABILITY
TOP FANTASY SCORERS2021 SEASON
INJURY REPORTWEEK 18
CIN7 LISTEDCameron Sample
DE · Hamstring
OUT
D.J. Reader
DT · Not injury related - resting player
QUESTIONABLE
HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORYLAST 5 MEETINGS