DAL @ PHI – Week 18 2021

PHI C-tier pick misses. DAL takes it.

Model picked PHI but DAL won. Projected margin was 0.8 -- the model overestimated by 25.8 points.

The win probability swung past 50% 5 times. One of the wildest games of the week.

Missed the spread by 18.5 points.

31°F at game time. Expect suppressed passing efficiency and lower scoring.

Every model misses. The edge comes from the aggregate, not any single game.