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EXPLORE THE RECORD
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only — no guaranteed outcomes. 21+.
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ACCURACY BY TIER

S
A+
A
B
C

SEASON SUMMARY

FULL LEDGER

2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
1048-516
PUBLIC RECORD

THE RECEIPTS

EVERY PICK TRACKED · EVERY LOSS SHOWN · 2021 SEASON
1048-516
6 SEASONS · 1,564 PICKS GRADED · EVERY ONE PUBLIC
67.0%
ACCURACY
+$525
PROFIT
+1.8%
DISAGREE ROI
52.4%
ATS RATE
W5
STREAK
W13
BEST STREAK
◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE

ACCURACY BY TIER

S
66.7%
A+
73.5%
A
84.6%
B
64.8%
C
59.1%

ATS BY TIER

S
41.2%
A+
50.0%
A
61.5%
B
52.5%
C
63.6%

BY SPREAD SIZE

CLOSE (0-3)
57.0%
MID (3.5-7)
68.6%
BIG (7.5+)
80.9%
CLOSE (0-3): 340-257 · MID (3.5-7): 412-189 · BIG (7.5+): 296-70

UPSET DETECTION

PICKING UNDERDOGS TO WIN OUTRIGHT
51.6%
148-139 (287 underdog picks)

HOME / AWAY

HOME
68.0%
AWAY
65.7%
HOME: 592-278 · AWAY: 456-238

FAVORITE / UNDERDOG

FAVORITE
70.5%
UNDERDOG
51.6%
FAV: 900-377 · DOG: 148-139

SEASON SUMMARY

TOTAL GAMES
1564
CORRECT
1048
DISAGREE PLAYS
287
DISAGREE WINS
148
ATS RECORD
803-729-32
ATS RATE
52.4%

SEASON TREND

2020
67.9%
2021
65.6%
2022
64.5%
2023
64.7%
2024
70.3%
2025
69.0%
2020: 163-77 · 2021: 168-88 · 2022: 165-91 · 2023: 176-96 · 2024: 189-80 · 2025: 187-84

VS INDUSTRY

52.4% is the line that bankrupts everyone else. We hit 67.0% — 14.6 points above break-even, in public, every week.
NOPUNT
67.0%
SHARP
55.0%
BREAK-EVEN
52.4%
AVERAGE
52.0%
COIN FLIP
50.0%
Break-even = 52.4% (standard -110 juice). Sharp = top 5% of bettors.

TIER CALIBRATION

HIT RATE BY TIER ACROSS SEASONS
TIER202122232425
S75%67%91%75%91%88%
A+74%74%66%71%74%73%
A78%85%90%50%71%71%
B

DISAGREE PROFIT CURVE

CUMULATIVE P/L ON VEGAS-DISAGREE PLAYS · $100/UNIT
$0+$50+$83202020212022202320242025

WEEKLY ACCURACY

WIN RATE BY WEEK · 2020–2025
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2020
12-4
10-6
10-5
9-5
8-6
11-3
8-6
11-3
11-3
7-7
12-4
10-5
9-7
11-5
11-5
13-3
2021
9-7
11-5
11-5
12-4
12-2
11-2
9-6
8-6
7-7
8-7
9-6
8-6
2022
10-6
1-0
7-9
8-8
11-5
9-5
9-5
9-6
10-3
5-9
10-4
9-7
2023
10-6
11-5
11-5
14-2
9-5
11-4
5-8
11-5
11-3
8-6
8-6
11-5
2024
9-4
10-6
8-8
7-9
9-5
11-3
13-2
12-4
11-4
11-3
11-3
9-4
2025
12-4
13-3
11-5
10-5
7-7
8-7
13-2
10-3
9-5
10-4
14-1
10-4
75%+
60-74%
50-59%
35-49%
<35%

MONTHLY P/L

DISAGREE PLAY PROFIT BY MONTH · 30 MONTHS
+12
SEP
22-10
+18
OCT
38-20
+23
NOV
47-22
+20
DEC
43-22
+10
JAN
13-3
+10
SEP
20-12
+37
OCT
53-19
+9
NOV
34-26
+22
DEC
42-18
+5
JAN
19-13
+5
SEP
18-16
+19
OCT
46-27
+9
NOV
34-24
+26
DEC
44-17
+15
JAN
23-7
+17
SEP
33-16
+25
OCT
49-24
+16
NOV
38-20
+18
DEC
48-27
-1
JAN
8-9
+7
SEP
33-27
+32
OCT
46-14
+31
NOV
46-14
+38
DEC
56-17
+0
JAN
8-8
+28
SEP
46-17
+19
OCT
39-19
+30
NOV
50-20
+21
DEC
42-22
+4
JAN
10-6

PROFIT BY TIER

$100 FLAT BETS
S
+$65
82.5%
94-20 (114)
A+
+$80
72.0%
154-60 (214)
A
+$29
71.8%
56-22 (78)
B
+$236
66.7%
504-252 (756)
C
+$114
59.7%
240-162 (402)

FULL LEDGER

256 OF 1564 GAMES
SeasonWeekMatchupPickTierSpreadScoreResultATSP/L
2021W18LAC @ LVLACC-3.532-35LOSS✗-$1
2021W18SEA @ ARIARIB-5.538-30LOSS✗-$1
2021W18NE @ MIANEC-6.024-33LOSS✗-$1
2021W18NO @ ATLNOC-4.530-20WIN✓+$1
2021W18SF @ LALAB-3.027-24LOSS✗-$1
2021W18CAR @ TBTBS-11.017-41WIN✓+$1
2021W18NYJ @ BUFBUFS-16.010-27WIN✓+$1
2021W18WAS @ NYGWASB-6.022-7WIN✓+$1
2021W18TEN @ HOUTENA+-10.528-25WIN✗+$1
2021W18PIT @ BALPIT ▲B+3.016-13WIN✓+$2
2021W18CIN @ CLECIN ▲B+6.516-21LOSS✓-$1
2021W18CHI @ MINMINB-3.517-31WIN✓+$1
2021W18GB @ DETGBS-4.030-37LOSS✗-$1
2021W18IND @ JAXINDS-14.011-26LOSS✗-$1
2021W18DAL @ PHIPHI ▲C+6.551-26LOSS✗-$1
2021W18KC @ DENKCA+-11.528-24WIN✗+$1
2021W17CLE @ PITCLEC-1.014-26LOSS✗-$1
2021W17MIN @ GBGBA+-13.010-37WIN✓+$1
2021W17ARI @ DALDALB-6.525-22LOSS✗-$1
2021W17CAR @ NONOC-7.010-18WIN✓+$1
2021W17DET @ SEASEAB-8.529-51WIN✓+$1
2021W17DEN @ LACLACB-8.013-34WIN✓+$1
2021W17HOU @ SFSFB-14.07-23WIN✓+$1
2021W17ATL @ BUFBUFB-14.015-29WINP+$1
2021W17LA @ BALLAA+-7.020-19WIN✗+$1
2021W17JAX @ NENES-17.510-50WIN✓+$1
2021W17NYG @ CHICHIB-7.03-29WIN✓+$1
2021W17PHI @ WASPHIB-6.520-16WIN✗+$1
2021W17TB @ NYJTBS-14.528-24WIN✗+$1
2021W17MIA @ TENMIA ▲C+3.03-34LOSS✗-$1
2021W17KC @ CINKCB-3.531-34LOSS✗-$1
2021W17LV @ INDINDB-8.523-20LOSS✗-$1
2021W16MIA @ NOMIAB-3.020-3WIN✓+$1
2021W16WAS @ DALDALA-10.514-56WIN✓+$1
2021W16DEN @ LVLV ▲C+1.013-17WIN✓+$1
2021W16PIT @ KCKCA+-10.510-36WIN✓+$1
2021W16CHI @ SEASEAB-7.025-24LOSS✗-$1
2021W16LA @ MINLAB-3.530-23WIN✓+$1
2021W16TB @ CARTBA+-11.532-6WIN✓+$1
2021W16NYG @ PHIPHIA-11.010-34WIN✓+$1
2021W16DET @ ATLATLB-7.516-20WIN✗+$1
2021W16LAC @ HOULACB-13.529-41LOSS✗-$1
2021W16BAL @ CINCINC-7.521-41WIN✓+$1
2021W16BUF @ NEBUF ▲C+1.033-21WIN✓+$1
2021W16JAX @ NYJNYJC-2.521-26WIN✓+$1
2021W16IND @ ARIIND ▲B+3.022-16WIN✓+$2
2021W16CLE @ GBGBA-7.522-24WIN✗+$1
2021W16SF @ TENSFB-3.517-20LOSS✗-$1
2021W15SEA @ LALAB-7.510-20WIN✓+$1
2021W15WAS @ PHIPHIB-10.017-27WINP+$1
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64%
65%
65%
67%
73%
65%
C67%59%53%57%55%64%
Min 3 picks per tier/season. Higher tiers should consistently outperform lower tiers.
12-2
9-7
13-3
11-5
8-8
12-3
8-5
11-5
12-4
13-2
11-5
9-4
6-9
10-6
11-5
12-4
8-8
13-3
10-3
13-3
11-5
13-3
8-8
10-6
10-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
10-6