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EXPLORE THE RECORD
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only — no guaranteed outcomes. 21+.
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ACCURACY BY TIER

S
A+
A
B
C

SEASON SUMMARY

FULL LEDGER

2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
1048-516
PUBLIC RECORD

THE RECEIPTS

EVERY PICK TRACKED · EVERY LOSS SHOWN · THROUGH 2025
1048-516
6 SEASONS · 1,564 PICKS GRADED · EVERY ONE PUBLIC
67.0%
ACCURACY
+$525
PROFIT
+1.8%
DISAGREE ROI
52.4%
ATS RATE
W5
STREAK
W13
BEST STREAK
◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE

ACCURACY BY TIER

S
82.5%
A+
72.0%
A
71.8%
B
66.7%
C
59.7%

ATS BY TIER

S
47.8%
A+
47.9%
A
49.4%
B
52.8%
C
56.1%

BY SPREAD SIZE

CLOSE (0-3)
57.0%
MID (3.5-7)
68.6%
BIG (7.5+)
80.9%
CLOSE (0-3): 340-257 · MID (3.5-7): 412-189 · BIG (7.5+): 296-70

UPSET DETECTION

PICKING UNDERDOGS TO WIN OUTRIGHT
51.6%
148-139 (287 underdog picks)

HOME / AWAY

HOME
68.0%
AWAY
65.7%
HOME: 592-278 · AWAY: 456-238

FAVORITE / UNDERDOG

FAVORITE
70.5%
UNDERDOG
51.6%
FAV: 900-377 · DOG: 148-139

SEASON SUMMARY

TOTAL GAMES
1564
CORRECT
1048
DISAGREE PLAYS
287
DISAGREE WINS
148
ATS RECORD
803-729-32
ATS RATE
52.4%

SEASON TREND

2020
67.9%
2021
65.6%
2022
64.5%
2023
64.7%
2024
70.3%
2025
69.0%
2020: 163-77 · 2021: 168-88 · 2022: 165-91 · 2023: 176-96 · 2024: 189-80 · 2025: 187-84

VS INDUSTRY

52.4% is the line that bankrupts everyone else. We hit 67.0% — 14.6 points above break-even, in public, every week.
NOPUNT
67.0%
SHARP
55.0%
BREAK-EVEN
52.4%
AVERAGE
52.0%
COIN FLIP
50.0%
Break-even = 52.4% (standard -110 juice). Sharp = top 5% of bettors.

TIER CALIBRATION

HIT RATE BY TIER ACROSS SEASONS
TIER202122232425
S75%67%91%75%91%88%
A+74%74%66%71%74%73%
A78%85%90%50%71%71%
B

DISAGREE PROFIT CURVE

CUMULATIVE P/L ON VEGAS-DISAGREE PLAYS · $100/UNIT
$0+$50+$83202020212022202320242025

WEEKLY ACCURACY

WIN RATE BY WEEK · 2020–2025
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2020
12-4
10-6
10-5
9-5
8-6
11-3
8-6
11-3
11-3
7-7
12-4
10-5
9-7
11-5
11-5
13-3
2021
9-7
11-5
11-5
12-4
12-2
11-2
9-6
8-6
7-7
8-7
9-6
8-6
2022
10-6
1-0
7-9
8-8
11-5
9-5
9-5
9-6
10-3
5-9
10-4
9-7
2023
10-6
11-5
11-5
14-2
9-5
11-4
5-8
11-5
11-3
8-6
8-6
11-5
2024
9-4
10-6
8-8
7-9
9-5
11-3
13-2
12-4
11-4
11-3
11-3
9-4
2025
12-4
13-3
11-5
10-5
7-7
8-7
13-2
10-3
9-5
10-4
14-1
10-4
75%+
60-74%
50-59%
35-49%
<35%

MONTHLY P/L

DISAGREE PLAY PROFIT BY MONTH · 30 MONTHS
+12
SEP
22-10
+18
OCT
38-20
+23
NOV
47-22
+20
DEC
43-22
+10
JAN
13-3
+10
SEP
20-12
+37
OCT
53-19
+9
NOV
34-26
+22
DEC
42-18
+5
JAN
19-13
+5
SEP
18-16
+19
OCT
46-27
+9
NOV
34-24
+26
DEC
44-17
+15
JAN
23-7
+17
SEP
33-16
+25
OCT
49-24
+16
NOV
38-20
+18
DEC
48-27
-1
JAN
8-9
+7
SEP
33-27
+32
OCT
46-14
+31
NOV
46-14
+38
DEC
56-17
+0
JAN
8-8
+28
SEP
46-17
+19
OCT
39-19
+30
NOV
50-20
+21
DEC
42-22
+4
JAN
10-6

PROFIT BY TIER

$100 FLAT BETS
S
+$65
82.5%
94-20 (114)
A+
+$80
72.0%
154-60 (214)
A
+$29
71.8%
56-22 (78)
B
+$236
66.7%
504-252 (756)
C
+$114
59.7%
240-162 (402)

FULL LEDGER

1564 GAMES TRACKED
SeasonWeekMatchupPickTierSpreadScoreResultATSP/L
2025W15GB @ DENDEN ▲C+1.526-34WIN✓+$1
2025W15IND @ SEASEAA+-13.516-18WIN✗+$1
2025W15TEN @ SFSFS-12.524-37WIN✓+$1
2025W15CAR @ NOCARB-2.517-20LOSS✗-$1
2025W15DET @ LALAB-5.534-41WIN✓+$1
2025W15NYJ @ JAXJAXS-13.520-48WIN✓+$1
2025W15ARI @ HOUHOUS-10.520-40WIN✓+$1
2025W15CLE @ CHICHIS-7.53-31WIN✓+$1
2025W15WAS @ NYGWAS ▲C+2.529-21WIN✓+$1
2025W15BUF @ NENE ▲C+2.535-31LOSS✗-$1
2025W15LAC @ KCKCB-5.516-13LOSS✗-$1
2025W15BAL @ CINBALB-2.524-0WIN✓+$1
2025W15LV @ PHIPHIS-12.50-31WIN✓+$1
2025W15ATL @ TBTBB-6.029-28LOSS✗-$1
2025W14PHI @ LACLAC ▲C+1.519-22WIN✓+$1
2025W14HOU @ KCHOU ▲C+4.520-10WIN✓+$2
2025W14CHI @ GBGBB-6.521-28WIN✓+$1
2025W14LA @ ARILAA+-9.545-17WIN✓+$1
2025W14DEN @ LVDENS-8.524-17WIN✗+$1
2025W14SEA @ ATLSEAB-7.037-9WIN✓+$1
2025W14CIN @ BUFBUFA-6.034-39WIN✗+$1
2025W14PIT @ BALBALB-5.527-22LOSS✗-$1
2025W14IND @ JAXJAX ▲B+2.519-36WIN✓+$1
2025W14NO @ TBTBA+-7.524-20LOSS✗-$1
2025W14WAS @ MINWASC-1.50-31LOSS✗-$1
2025W14MIA @ NYJMIAB-2.534-10WIN✓+$1
2025W14TEN @ CLECLEB-4.531-29LOSS✗-$1
2025W14DAL @ DETDETC-3.530-44WIN✓+$1
2025W13NYG @ NENES-7.015-33WIN✓+$1
2025W13DEN @ WASDENA+-6.527-26WIN✗+$1
2025W13BUF @ PITBUFC-3.026-7WIN✓+$1
2025W13LV @ LACLACS-10.014-31WIN✓+$1
2025W13MIN @ SEASEAS-12.50-26WIN✓+$1
2025W13NO @ MIAMIAA+-5.517-21WIN✗+$1
2025W13LA @ CARLAA+-10.028-31LOSS✗-$1
2025W13JAX @ TENJAXA+-6.025-3WIN✓+$1
2025W13HOU @ INDINDC-3.020-16LOSS✗-$1
2025W13ARI @ TBTBA+-4.517-20WIN✗+$1
2025W13SF @ CLESFB-5.526-8WIN✓+$1
2025W13ATL @ NYJATLB-3.024-27LOSS✗-$1
2025W13CHI @ PHIPHIB-7.024-15LOSS✗-$1
2025W13CIN @ BALBALA+-7.032-14LOSS✗-$1
2025W13KC @ DALDAL ▲C+3.528-31WIN✓+$2
2025W13GB @ DETDETB-2.531-24LOSS✗-$1
2025W12CAR @ SFSFB-7.59-20WIN✓+$1
2025W12TB @ LALAA+-7.07-34WIN✓+$1
2025W12ATL @ NOATL ▲C+1.524-10WIN✓+$1
2025W12PHI @ DALPHIB-3.021-24LOSS✗-$1
2025W12JAX @ ARIJAXB-2.527-24WIN✓+$1
2025W12CLE @ LVLVB-3.024-10LOSS✗-$1
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64%
65%
65%
67%
73%
65%
C67%59%53%57%55%64%
Min 3 picks per tier/season. Higher tiers should consistently outperform lower tiers.
12-2
9-7
13-3
11-5
8-8
12-3
8-5
11-5
12-4
13-2
11-5
9-4
6-9
10-6
11-5
12-4
8-8
13-3
10-3
13-3
11-5
13-3
8-8
10-6
10-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
10-6