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EXPLORE THE RECORD
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only — no guaranteed outcomes. 21+.
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ACCURACY BY TIER

S
A+
A
B
C

SEASON SUMMARY

FULL LEDGER

2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
1048-516
PUBLIC RECORD

THE RECEIPTS

EVERY PICK TRACKED · EVERY LOSS SHOWN · 2025 SEASON
1048-516
6 SEASONS · 1,564 PICKS GRADED · EVERY ONE PUBLIC
67.0%
ACCURACY
+$525
PROFIT
+29.1%
DISAGREE ROI
52.4%
ATS RATE
W5
STREAK
W13
BEST STREAK
◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE

ACCURACY BY TIER

S
88.2%
A+
73.3%
A
71.4%
B
64.7%
C
63.6%

ATS BY TIER

S
52.9%
A+
40.0%
A
57.1%
B
55.1%
C
63.6%

BY SPREAD SIZE

CLOSE (0-3)
57.0%
MID (3.5-7)
68.6%
BIG (7.5+)
80.9%
CLOSE (0-3): 340-257 · MID (3.5-7): 412-189 · BIG (7.5+): 296-70

UPSET DETECTION

PICKING UNDERDOGS TO WIN OUTRIGHT
51.6%
148-139 (287 underdog picks)

MODEL CONSENSUS

UNANIMOUS
69.5%
SPLIT (2-1)
59.7%
UNANIMOUS: 808-354 · SPLIT: 240-162

HOME / AWAY

HOME
68.0%
AWAY
65.7%
HOME: 592-278 · AWAY: 456-238

FAVORITE / UNDERDOG

FAVORITE
70.5%
UNDERDOG
51.6%
FAV: 900-377 · DOG: 148-139

SEASON SUMMARY

TOTAL GAMES
1564
CORRECT
1048
DISAGREE PLAYS
287
DISAGREE WINS
148
ATS RECORD
803-729-32
ATS RATE
52.4%

SEASON TREND

2020
67.9%
2021
65.6%
2022
64.5%
2023
64.7%
2024
70.3%
2025
69.0%
2020: 163-77 · 2021: 168-88 · 2022: 165-91 · 2023: 176-96 · 2024: 189-80 · 2025: 187-84

VS INDUSTRY

52.4% is the line that bankrupts everyone else. We hit 67.0% — 14.6 points above break-even, in public, every week.
NOPUNT
67.0%
SHARP
55.0%
BREAK-EVEN
52.4%
AVERAGE
52.0%
COIN FLIP
50.0%
Break-even = 52.4% (standard -110 juice). Sharp = top 5% of bettors.

TIER CALIBRATION

HIT RATE BY TIER ACROSS SEASONS
TIER202122232425
S75%67%91%75%91%88%
A+74%74%66%71%74%73%
A78%85%90%50%71%71%
B

DISAGREE PROFIT CURVE

CUMULATIVE P/L ON VEGAS-DISAGREE PLAYS · 1U FLAT ($1) STAKES
$0+$50+$83202020212022202320242025

WEEKLY ACCURACY

WIN RATE BY WEEK · 2020–2025
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2020
12-4
10-6
10-5
9-5
8-6
11-3
8-6
11-3
11-3
7-7
12-4
10-5
9-7
11-5
11-5
13-3
2021
9-7
11-5
11-5
12-4
12-2
11-2
9-6
8-6
7-7
8-7
9-6
8-6
2022
10-6
1-0
7-9
8-8
11-5
9-5
9-5
9-6
10-3
5-9
10-4
9-7
2023
10-6
11-5
11-5
14-2
9-5
11-4
5-8
11-5
11-3
8-6
8-6
11-5
2024
9-4
10-6
8-8
7-9
9-5
11-3
13-2
12-4
11-4
11-3
11-3
9-4
2025
12-4
13-3
11-5
10-5
7-7
8-7
13-2
10-3
9-5
10-4
14-1
10-4
75%+
60-74%
50-59%
35-49%
<35%

MONTHLY P/L

DISAGREE PLAY PROFIT BY MONTH · 30 MONTHS
+12
SEP
22-10
+18
OCT
38-20
+23
NOV
47-22
+20
DEC
43-22
+10
JAN
13-3
+10
SEP
20-12
+37
OCT
53-19
+9
NOV
34-26
+22
DEC
42-18
+5
JAN
19-13
+5
SEP
18-16
+19
OCT
46-27
+9
NOV
34-24
+26
DEC
44-17
+15
JAN
23-7
+17
SEP
33-16
+25
OCT
49-24
+16
NOV
38-20
+18
DEC
48-27
-1
JAN
8-9
+7
SEP
33-27
+32
OCT
46-14
+31
NOV
46-14
+38
DEC
56-17
+0
JAN
8-8
+28
SEP
46-17
+19
OCT
39-19
+30
NOV
50-20
+21
DEC
42-22
+4
JAN
10-6

PROFIT BY TIER

1U FLAT ($1) STAKES
S
+$65
82.5%
94-20 (114)
A+
+$80
72.0%
154-60 (214)
A
+$29
71.8%
56-22 (78)
B
+$236
66.7%
504-252 (756)
C
+$114
59.7%
240-162 (402)

FULL LEDGER

271 OF 1564 GAMES
SeasonWeekMatchupPickTierSpreadScoreSUATSML P/L
2025W12NYJ @ BALBALS-14.010-23WIN✗+$1
2025W12IND @ KCIND ▲C+3.520-23LOSS✓-$1
2025W12NE @ CINNEB-7.526-20WIN✗+$1
2025W12PIT @ CHICHIB-3.028-31WINP+$1
2025W12NYG @ DETDETS-14.027-34WIN✗+$1
2025W12MIN @ GBGBA+-6.56-23WIN✓+$1
2025W12SEA @ TENSEAS-12.530-24WIN✗+$1
2025W12BUF @ HOUBUFB-5.519-23LOSS✗-$1
2025W11DAL @ LVDALB-3.533-16WIN✓+$1
2025W11DET @ PHIPHIC-2.59-16WIN✓+$1
2025W11KC @ DENDEN ▲C+3.519-22WIN✓+$2
2025W11BAL @ CLEBALA+-7.523-16WIN✗+$1
2025W11SEA @ LALAB-3.019-21WIN✗+$1
2025W11SF @ ARISFC-3.541-22WIN✓+$1
2025W11CAR @ ATLCAR ▲C+4.530-27WIN✓+$2
2025W11TB @ BUFBUFB-6.032-44WIN✓+$1
2025W11GB @ NYGGBA+-7.527-20WIN✗+$1
2025W11LAC @ JAXLACB-3.06-35LOSS✗-$1
2025W11CIN @ PITPITC-5.512-34WIN✓+$1
2025W11HOU @ TENHOUB-5.516-13WIN✗+$1
2025W11CHI @ MINCHI ▲B+3.019-17WIN✓+$2
2025W11WAS @ MIAMIAB-2.513-16WIN✓+$1
2025W11NYJ @ NENEA+-12.514-27WIN✓+$1
2025W10PHI @ GBPHI ▲C+1.510-7WIN✓+$1
2025W10PIT @ LACLACB-3.010-25WIN✓+$1
2025W10LA @ SFLAB-5.542-26WIN✓+$1
2025W10DET @ WASDETB-8.544-22WIN✓+$1
2025W10ARI @ SEASEAA+-7.022-44WIN✓+$1
2025W10BAL @ MINBALB-4.527-19WIN✓+$1
2025W10NO @ CARCARA+-5.517-7LOSS✗-$1
2025W10NYG @ CHICHIA+-4.520-24WIN✗+$1
2025W10BUF @ MIABUFB-8.513-30LOSS✗-$1
2025W10NE @ TBTBB-2.528-23LOSS✗-$1
2025W10JAX @ HOUJAXC-1.529-36LOSS✗-$1
2025W10CLE @ NYJNYJ ▲C+1.520-27WIN✓+$1
2025W10ATL @ INDINDA+-6.525-31WIN✗+$1
2025W10LV @ DENDENS-9.57-10WIN✗+$1
2025W9ARI @ DALDALB-3.527-17LOSS✗-$1
2025W9SEA @ WASSEAB-2.538-14WIN✓+$1
2025W9KC @ BUFBUF ▲B+2.521-28WIN✓+$1
2025W9NO @ LALAS-14.010-34WIN✓+$1
2025W9JAX @ LVJAXB-2.530-29WIN✗+$1
2025W9CAR @ GBGBA+-12.516-13LOSS✗-$1
2025W9MIN @ DETDETS-9.527-24LOSS✗-$1
2025W9IND @ PITINDB-3.520-27LOSS✗-$1
2025W9SF @ NYGSFB-2.534-24WIN✓+$1
2025W9ATL @ NENEB-5.523-24WIN✗+$1
2025W9DEN @ HOUDEN ▲B+1.518-15WIN✓+$1
2025W9CHI @ CINCIN ▲B+3.047-42LOSS✗-$1
2025W9LAC @ TENLACA+-10.027-20WIN✗+$1
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64%
65%
65%
67%
73%
65%
C67%59%53%57%55%64%
Min 3 picks per tier/season. Higher tiers should consistently outperform lower tiers.
12-2
9-7
13-3
11-5
8-8
12-3
8-5
11-5
12-4
13-2
11-5
9-4
6-9
10-6
11-5
12-4
8-8
13-3
10-3
13-3
11-5
13-3
8-8
10-6
10-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
10-6