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EXPLORE THE RECORD
© 2026 NoPunt. Not a sportsbook. Not financial advice. For entertainment only — no guaranteed outcomes. 21+.
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ACCURACY BY TIER

S
A+
A
B
C

SEASON SUMMARY

FULL LEDGER

2025 SEASON FINAL · PICKS RETURN SEPTEMBER 2026
1048-516
PUBLIC RECORD

THE RECEIPTS

EVERY PICK TRACKED · EVERY LOSS SHOWN · 2025 SEASON
1048-516
6 SEASONS · 1,564 PICKS GRADED · EVERY ONE PUBLIC
67.0%
ACCURACY
+$525
PROFIT
+29.1%
DISAGREE ROI
52.4%
ATS RATE
W5
STREAK
W13
BEST STREAK
◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE◆ PICKS EVERY WEEK◆ PUBLISHED BEFORE KICKOFF◆ EVERY LOSS SHOWN◆ NO EDITS, NO DELETES◆ TRACKED PUBLICLY◆ RECEIPTS ON FILE

ACCURACY BY TIER

S
88.2%
A+
73.3%
A
71.4%
B
64.7%
C
63.6%

ATS BY TIER

S
52.9%
A+
40.0%
A
57.1%
B
55.1%
C
63.6%

BY SPREAD SIZE

CLOSE (0-3)
57.0%
MID (3.5-7)
68.6%
BIG (7.5+)
80.9%
CLOSE (0-3): 340-257 · MID (3.5-7): 412-189 · BIG (7.5+): 296-70

UPSET DETECTION

PICKING UNDERDOGS TO WIN OUTRIGHT
51.6%
148-139 (287 underdog picks)

MODEL CONSENSUS

UNANIMOUS
69.5%
SPLIT (2-1)
59.7%
UNANIMOUS: 808-354 · SPLIT: 240-162

HOME / AWAY

HOME
68.0%
AWAY
65.7%
HOME: 592-278 · AWAY: 456-238

FAVORITE / UNDERDOG

FAVORITE
70.5%
UNDERDOG
51.6%
FAV: 900-377 · DOG: 148-139

SEASON SUMMARY

TOTAL GAMES
1564
CORRECT
1048
DISAGREE PLAYS
287
DISAGREE WINS
148
ATS RECORD
803-729-32
ATS RATE
52.4%

SEASON TREND

2020
67.9%
2021
65.6%
2022
64.5%
2023
64.7%
2024
70.3%
2025
69.0%
2020: 163-77 · 2021: 168-88 · 2022: 165-91 · 2023: 176-96 · 2024: 189-80 · 2025: 187-84

VS INDUSTRY

52.4% is the line that bankrupts everyone else. We hit 67.0% — 14.6 points above break-even, in public, every week.
NOPUNT
67.0%
SHARP
55.0%
BREAK-EVEN
52.4%
AVERAGE
52.0%
COIN FLIP
50.0%
Break-even = 52.4% (standard -110 juice). Sharp = top 5% of bettors.

TIER CALIBRATION

HIT RATE BY TIER ACROSS SEASONS
TIER202122232425
S75%67%91%75%91%88%
A+74%74%66%71%74%73%
A78%85%90%50%71%71%
B

DISAGREE PROFIT CURVE

CUMULATIVE P/L ON VEGAS-DISAGREE PLAYS · 1U FLAT ($1) STAKES
$0+$50+$83202020212022202320242025

WEEKLY ACCURACY

WIN RATE BY WEEK · 2020–2025
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
2020
12-4
10-6
10-5
9-5
8-6
11-3
8-6
11-3
11-3
7-7
12-4
10-5
9-7
11-5
11-5
13-3
2021
9-7
11-5
11-5
12-4
12-2
11-2
9-6
8-6
7-7
8-7
9-6
8-6
2022
10-6
1-0
7-9
8-8
11-5
9-5
9-5
9-6
10-3
5-9
10-4
9-7
2023
10-6
11-5
11-5
14-2
9-5
11-4
5-8
11-5
11-3
8-6
8-6
11-5
2024
9-4
10-6
8-8
7-9
9-5
11-3
13-2
12-4
11-4
11-3
11-3
9-4
2025
12-4
13-3
11-5
10-5
7-7
8-7
13-2
10-3
9-5
10-4
14-1
10-4
75%+
60-74%
50-59%
35-49%
<35%

MONTHLY P/L

DISAGREE PLAY PROFIT BY MONTH · 30 MONTHS
+12
SEP
22-10
+18
OCT
38-20
+23
NOV
47-22
+20
DEC
43-22
+10
JAN
13-3
+10
SEP
20-12
+37
OCT
53-19
+9
NOV
34-26
+22
DEC
42-18
+5
JAN
19-13
+5
SEP
18-16
+19
OCT
46-27
+9
NOV
34-24
+26
DEC
44-17
+15
JAN
23-7
+17
SEP
33-16
+25
OCT
49-24
+16
NOV
38-20
+18
DEC
48-27
-1
JAN
8-9
+7
SEP
33-27
+32
OCT
46-14
+31
NOV
46-14
+38
DEC
56-17
+0
JAN
8-8
+28
SEP
46-17
+19
OCT
39-19
+30
NOV
50-20
+21
DEC
42-22
+4
JAN
10-6

PROFIT BY TIER

1U FLAT ($1) STAKES
S
+$65
82.5%
94-20 (114)
A+
+$80
72.0%
154-60 (214)
A
+$29
71.8%
56-22 (78)
B
+$236
66.7%
504-252 (756)
C
+$114
59.7%
240-162 (402)

FULL LEDGER

271 OF 1564 GAMES
SeasonWeekMatchupPickTierSpreadScoreSUATSML P/L
2025W5DAL @ NYJDAL ▲C+1.537-22WIN✓+$1
2025W5DEN @ PHIPHIA-3.521-17LOSS✗-$1
2025W5HOU @ BALBAL ▲B+2.544-10LOSS✗-$1
2025W5NYG @ NONOB-1.514-26WIN✓+$1
2025W5MIA @ CARCAR ▲C+1.524-27WIN✓+$1
2025W5LV @ INDINDA+-7.06-40WIN✓+$1
2025W5MIN @ CLEMINC-3.521-17WIN✓+$1
2025W5SF @ LALAA+-8.526-23LOSS✗-$1
2025W4CIN @ DENDENB-7.53-28WIN✓+$1
2025W4NYJ @ MIAMIAB-2.521-27WIN✓+$1
2025W4CHI @ LVLVB-1.525-24LOSS✗-$1
2025W4BAL @ KCKC ▲C+2.520-37WIN✓+$1
2025W4JAX @ SFSFC-3.526-21LOSS✗-$1
2025W4IND @ LALAB-3.520-27WIN✓+$1
2025W4PHI @ TBTB ▲C+3.531-25LOSS✗-$1
2025W4CAR @ NENEC-5.513-42WIN✓+$1
2025W4NO @ BUFBUFS-15.519-31WIN✗+$1
2025W4TEN @ HOUHOUA+-7.50-26WIN✓+$1
2025W4LAC @ NYGLACA+-6.018-21LOSS✗-$1
2025W4CLE @ DETDETS-10.010-34WIN✓+$1
2025W4WAS @ ATLWAS ▲B+2.527-34LOSS✗-$1
2025W4MIN @ PITPIT ▲B+2.521-24WIN✓+$1
2025W4SEA @ ARISEAC-1.523-20WIN✓+$1
2025W3DET @ BALDET ▲C+4.538-30WIN✓+$2
2025W3KC @ NYGKCB-6.022-9WIN✓+$1
2025W3ARI @ SFARI ▲B+1.515-16LOSS✓-$1
2025W3DAL @ CHIDALB-1.514-31LOSS✗-$1
2025W3DEN @ LACLACC-2.520-23WIN✓+$1
2025W3NO @ SEASEAA+-7.513-44WIN✓+$1
2025W3PIT @ NEPITC-1.521-14WIN✓+$1
2025W3ATL @ CARATLB-5.50-30LOSS✗-$1
2025W3HOU @ JAXJAXB-1.510-17WIN✓+$1
2025W3CIN @ MINCIN ▲B+3.010-48LOSS✗-$1
2025W3NYJ @ TBTBS-6.527-29WIN✗+$1
2025W3GB @ CLEGBS-8.510-13LOSS✗-$1
2025W3IND @ TENINDS-6.041-20WIN✓+$1
2025W3LA @ PHIPHIC-3.526-33WIN✓+$1
2025W3LV @ WASWASC-2.524-41WIN✓+$1
2025W3MIA @ BUFBUFS-12.521-31WIN✗+$1
2025W2LAC @ LVLACB-3.520-9WIN✓+$1
2025W2TB @ HOUTB ▲B+2.520-19WIN✓+$1
2025W2ATL @ MINMINC-3.522-6LOSS✗-$1
2025W2PHI @ KCPHIB-1.520-17WIN✓+$1
2025W2DEN @ INDIND ▲C+2.528-29WIN✓+$1
2025W2CAR @ ARIARIA+-7.022-27WIN✗+$1
2025W2SF @ NOSFB-3.026-21WIN✓+$1
2025W2JAX @ CINCINB-3.527-31WIN✓+$1
2025W2CHI @ DETDETS-6.021-52WIN✓+$1
2025W2LA @ TENLAS-5.533-19WIN✓+$1
2025W2BUF @ NYJBUFA+-6.030-10WIN✓+$1
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64%
65%
65%
67%
73%
65%
C67%59%53%57%55%64%
Min 3 picks per tier/season. Higher tiers should consistently outperform lower tiers.
12-2
9-7
13-3
11-5
8-8
12-3
8-5
11-5
12-4
13-2
11-5
9-4
6-9
10-6
11-5
12-4
8-8
13-3
10-3
13-3
11-5
13-3
8-8
10-6
10-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
10-6